Monday, August 8, 2011

Fed should maintain QE and create moderate inflation

Dow dropped another 634 points today. A lot of fear in the market. This isn't because of the S&P downgrade. Investors are panicking over slowing growth or a potential contraction. Are we heading right back to recession? What can one expect from the Federal Reserve which is having a FOMC meeting tomorrow?

Ken Rogoff expressed a clear view in this interview. He thinks that the Fed should have never stopped QE2, in fact he thinks that the Fed should make it open ended and make it clear the objective is to create inflation.

Quoting Bloomberg:

Rogoff recommended the Fed say in “very clear statements” that it’s trying to create “moderate inflation.” “In the classic classroom QE, it’s open-ended,” Rogoff said. “You say, ‘I’m trying to create inflation of, let’s say 2 or 3 percent, and I’m going to do whatever it takes.’”

The Fed should also avoid repeating that officials are trying to boost stocks, Rogoff said, calling that a “bad idea.”

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index tumbled 6.7 percent yesterday to 1,119.46 in New York trading, its biggest decline since December 2008. The benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped 4.1 percent yesterday in London to 228.98, its biggest retreat since March 2009.

The Fed should have extended its asset-purchase program, “as controversial as it was,” instead of ending it, Rogoff said. The central bank completed the second round of bond buying in June, purchasing $600 billion of Treasuries.

“They need to move much more decisively,” Rogoff said.

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